Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.234665 0.252325 0.271015 0.292327 0.316026 0.341653 0.371569
2025-12-14 0.202718 0.227765 0.255957 0.290298 0.331347 0.379292 0.440197
2025-12-21 0.180231 0.208477 0.241614 0.283867 0.337057 0.402834 0.492030
2025-12-28 0.169768 0.201179 0.239336 0.289941 0.356617 0.443461 0.568664
2026-01-04 0.160501 0.193991 0.235859 0.293254 0.371901 0.479130 0.642578
2026-01-11 0.151692 0.186386 0.230816 0.293467 0.382294 0.508426 0.710736
2026-01-18 0.142187 0.177033 0.222537 0.288207 0.384000 0.524802 0.760893
2026-01-25 0.132978 0.167389 0.213060 0.280269 0.380712 0.532837 0.798142
2026-02-01 0.125838 0.160048 0.206158 0.275294 0.381080 0.546097 0.845503
2026-02-08 0.119095 0.152839 0.198936 0.269201 0.378993 0.554887 0.885874
2026-02-15 0.113594 0.147040 0.193326 0.265015 0.379359 0.567468 0.934752
2026-02-22 0.110732 0.144771 0.192591 0.268059 0.391404 0.600901 1.028946
2026-03-01 0.106619 0.140629 0.189053 0.266773 0.396646 0.623823 1.108316
2026-03-08 0.102812 0.136765 0.185738 0.265641 0.402116 0.647984 1.195848
2026-03-15 0.098152 0.131427 0.179907 0.260030 0.399265 0.656095 1.249262
2026-03-22 0.096607 0.130589 0.180824 0.265417 0.416210 0.704350 1.407320
2026-03-29 0.094577 0.128911 0.180322 0.268350 0.428906 0.745776 1.559751
2026-04-05 0.092056 0.126367 0.178310 0.268538 0.436432 0.777403 1.695276
2026-04-12 0.088632 0.122299 0.173679 0.263884 0.434252 0.787796 1.774465
2026-04-19 0.084907 0.117632 0.167886 0.256852 0.426860 0.785762 1.816986
2026-04-26 0.081949 0.114053 0.163705 0.252440 0.424307 0.794410 1.894914
2026-05-03 0.078953 0.110312 0.159109 0.247033 0.419325 0.796851 1.954194
2026-05-10 0.076458 0.107277 0.155553 0.243314 0.417500 0.806585 2.040951